Odds and data via theScore Bet and ESPN Bet
Caleb Williams, the top pick in the NFL Draft, has seen his status as the favorite for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award slip after just two games. Initially, Williams held a +140 odds (41.7% implied probability) before Week 1. However, his odds have since lengthened to +350 (22.2% implied probability), moving him to third place behind Jayden Daniels and Marvin Harrison Jr.
In Chicago’s 1-1 start, Williams has struggled to make an impact. In the season opener against the Titans, he managed only 93 passing yards and completed 48.2% of his passes. His performance in Week 2 against the Texans was marked by two interceptions and seven sacks during his Sunday Night Football debut. Williams has yet to throw a touchdown and holds a quarterback rating of 53, placing him behind only Bo Nix and Bryce Young.
Despite these early challenges, Williams remains popular among bettors, receiving 44.7% of the bets and 19.01% of the money wagered on the OROY market since September 9.
In contrast, Jayden Daniels’ odds have improved significantly, moving from +600 to +275 (26.7% implied probability). The Commanders’ rookie quarterback has amassed 410 passing yards, 132 rushing yards, and two rushing touchdowns in his first two games, demonstrating a smoother transition to the NFL than Williams.
Marvin Harrison Jr., co-favorite for the award, has also seen a significant boost in his odds. After a quiet debut against the Bills, the wide receiver exploded in Week 2, recording 130 receiving yards and two touchdowns against the Rams. His standout performance has reinforced why the Cardinals selected him as the first wide receiver in the 2024 draft.
Offensive Rookie of the Year odds
| PLAYER | ODDS |
| Jayden Daniels | +275 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | +275 |
| Caleb Williams | +350 |
| Malik Nabers | +700 |
| Brock Bowers | +1800 |
| Xavier Worthy | +1800 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | +2200 |
| Keon Coleman | +3500 |
| Bo Nix | +4000 |
